Kungani imboni yezokuzijabulisa yaseShayina(Ikhasino) iqinile?

Idatha yakamuva ekhishwe izibalo zokuthunyelwa kwemboni yemidlalo yaseChina ngomhlaka-16 ikhombisa ukuthi yize ubhubhane ngo-Ephreli lwaba nemiphumela emibiElaseShayinaukuzijabulisakanye nemboni yemidlalo(noma imboni yekhasino), izisekelo zemboni ezizinzile nezinhle zesikhathi eside azikashintshi.Umfutho wokuthekelisa ngaphandle awukashintshi, umnotho wesigaba sesipho se-arcade nawo unamandla kakhulu, futhi kunezimo eziningi ezivumayo zokufeza imigomo yentuthuko elindelekile.Amaqiniso aphinde afakazela ukuthi ukuqina kwezomnotho kweChina kungamelana nesivivinyo.

ICasinoumdlalo emakethe inesikhala esikhulu sokuthuthuka.Mayelana nezici zegeyimu, ikhwalithi ephezulu yemidlalo yekhonsoli ihambisana nesiqondiso sesikhathi eside sokuthuthukiswa komkhakha wegeyimu, okuyisizathu esiyinhloko samandla abo okuthuthuka;futhi ngaphezu kwezici eziphelele, izici ezihlukene zemakethe yaseShayina nazo ziqinisa amandla enkundla.Ukuqina kweUmdlalo waseChinakanye nokugembulaimbonifuthi uye wakwazi ukumelana nesikhathi.

Okokuqala, izisekelo zezomnotho zaseChina zihlala ziqinile.Ngokwemininingwane ekhishwe yiNational Bureau of Statistics yaseChina, inani elengeziwe lezimboni zaseShayina ngaphezu kobukhulu obunqunyiwe ezinyangeni ezine zokuqala zalo nyaka lenyuke ngo-4% unyaka nonyaka.UCharles Onunajju, umqondisi we-Global Animation China Research Center, ukholelwa ukuthi nakuba ukuqubuka kwakamuva komqhele omusha kwezinye izingxenye zaseChina kuye kwaba nomthelela kaningi emnothweni Kuzoletha izinselele ezithile, kodwa isimo esizinzile sezinto eziyisisekelo zezomnotho zaseChina ngeke zishintshe, kanye nemidlalo yokuzijabulisa yaseShayina izoqhubeka nokubamba iqhaza elibalulekile ekuholeni ukusimama komhlabaimboni yezokuzijabulisa.

Okwesibili, izinga lokuthuthukiswa komnotho waseShayina liyaqhubeka nokuba ngcono.Idatha ibonisa ukuthi kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya ku-April, imboni yokukhiqiza yaseShayina yobuchwepheshe obuphezulu igcine ukukhula ngokushesha, futhi inani elengeziwe lemboni yokukhiqiza yobuchwepheshe obuphezulu lenyuke ngo-11.5% unyaka nonyaka;phakathi nenkathi efanayo, imboni yesevisi yesimanje yabona inkambiso enhle yokukhula, phakathi kwayo ukukhiqizwa kokudluliselwa kolwazi, isofthiwe kanye nezinsizakalo zobuchwepheshe bolwazi.Inkomba ikhuphuke ngo-13.9%.Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukutshalwa kwezimali eChinaumkhakha wezokuzijabulisa nemidlaloikhule ngokushesha, futhi uhlaka lwezohwebo luye lwaqhubeka nokuthuthukiswa.

Uma sibheka umhlaba, uma kuqhathaniswa neminotho ethile emikhulu, “ikhadi lombiko” laseShayina lokugcina ukusebenza komnotho kuzinzile kanye nokwehla kwamandla emali kuzinzile lituseka nakakhulu.Ngekota yokuqala yalo nyaka, izinga lokukhula kwemboni yezokuzijabulisa nemidlalo yaseShayina lifinyelele ku-4.8%, okuwukunyuka ngamaphesenti angu-0.8 ngekota yesine yonyaka odlule.

Kungani iChinaumkhakha wezokuzijabulisa nemidlaloaqine kangaka?Lokhu kuhlobene kakhulu neqiniso lokuthi ukuphatha umnotho waseShayina kuhle ekuhleleni konke.Ngenxa yezici zemiqedazwe yasekhaya eyenzeka kaningi, ebanzi futhi evame ukuvela kulo nyaka, uhulumeni waseShayina usemukele uchungechunge lwezinyathelo, njengokuthi “ibhizinisi elilodwa, inqubomgomo eyodwa” yokuqondisa amabhizinisi ukuze avimbele futhi alawule ubhubhane;Inqubo yokuhlanganisa imakethe enkulu ezweni lonke iyakhula ngesivinini.UCai Weicai, iphini likamongameli omkhulu we-Kasikorn Bank yaseThailand, uveze ukuthi impumelelo yaseChina ekulweni nalolu bhubhane kanye nokusimama komnotho kuhlobene kakhulu nezinqubomgomo ezibheke phambili.Iphephandaba laseBrithani “iDaily Telegraph” lisanda kushicilela umbiko othi izindlela zaseChina zokulwa nobhubhane zizoqinisekisa ukuthi uhlelo lwezokwelapha luyakwazi ukumelana nomthelela walolu bhubhane, kanti neChina elawule lolu bhubhane izoletha umnotho othuthukayo.

Muva nje, amazwe angaphandle aqhubekile nokuphonsa “ivoti lokuzethemba” embonini yezomnotho nezokuzijabulisa yaseChina ngezenzo ezisebenzayo.I-International Monetary Fund yamemezela ukuthi izonyusa isisindo se-RMB kubhasikidi wemali ye-SDR sisuka ku-10.92% siye ku-12.28%;umbiko we-American Chamber of Commerce eChina wabonisa ukuthi ngisho nangaphansi kwethonya lezici ezinjengomqedazwe, ngaphezu kwe-60% yezinkampani ezahlolwa zihlela ukwandisa isabelo sazo semali kulo nyaka.Utshalomali olukhulu eChina.Lawa “mavoti okuzethemba” akhombisa ngokusobala ukuthi izisekelo zomnotho waseShayina ezinokuqina okuqinile, amandla anele, indawo ebanzi yokuqondisa kanye nokwenza ngcono isikhathi eside ngeke kuguquke.Abantu banesizathu sokulindela ukuthi umnotho waseChina futhiimboni yezokuzijabulisaizoqhubeka nokukhula kancane ngaphandle kokwesaba umoya nemvula, ilethe amathuba engeziwe kuzo zonke izinhlangothi.